NHC Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion
Fri Jul 17 5:33 pm
000
AXPZ20 KNHC 172133
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Fri Jul 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Elida: Tropical Storm Elida is centered near 17.1N
121.9W at 17/2100 UTC, moving west-northwest at 10 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 994 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. Peak seas are currently around 18
or 6.0 m. Elida is moving toward the west-northwest. A turn toward
the northwest is expected later this evening, followed by a
north-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed by
Sunday. Elida's intensity remains steady, and it is no longer
forecast to become a hurricane. However, a very limited window
for strengthening remains possible, and Elida could become a
strong tropical storm. Weakening is expected to start over the
weekend and continue into early next week. Swells generated by Elida
will affect portions of the west coast of the Baja California
peninsula through this weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest
Elida NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Central and Western East Pacific (EP97): A tropical wave with axis
along 106W is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. A 1009 mb low pressure is analyzed along the wave
axis near 11N. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected
to form over the weekend while it moves west- northwestward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central portion of the
eastern Pacific. The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this
system a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through 48
hours, and also through the next 7 days. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, expect increasing winds and building seas to
impact portions of the waters well offshore southwest Mexico to
the Revillagigedo Islands this weekend into early next week.
Please read the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 106W, moving westward at around 10 kt.
Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is noted from
10N to 19N between 100W and 110W. Please, see the Special Features
section for more information about this system.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from low pressure over northern Colombia
at 10N76W to 07N90W to 1009 mb low pressure near 11N106W to 12N114W,
then resumes southwest of Elida from 11N128W to beyond 10N140W.
Aside from the convection associated with Elida, scattered to
numerous moderate to strong convection can be found from 02.5N to
09N E of 90W to the coast of Colombia, from 07N to 14N between
90W and 100W, from 10N to 19N between 100W and 110W, and from 07N
to 10N between 108W and 112W.
AXPZ20 KNHC 172133
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Fri Jul 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Elida: Tropical Storm Elida is centered near 17.1N
121.9W at 17/2100 UTC, moving west-northwest at 10 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 994 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. Peak seas are currently around 18
or 6.0 m. Elida is moving toward the west-northwest. A turn toward
the northwest is expected later this evening, followed by a
north-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed by
Sunday. Elida's intensity remains steady, and it is no longer
forecast to become a hurricane. However, a very limited window
for strengthening remains possible, and Elida could become a
strong tropical storm. Weakening is expected to start over the
weekend and continue into early next week. Swells generated by Elida
will affect portions of the west coast of the Baja California
peninsula through this weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest
Elida NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Central and Western East Pacific (EP97): A tropical wave with axis
along 106W is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. A 1009 mb low pressure is analyzed along the wave
axis near 11N. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected
to form over the weekend while it moves west- northwestward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central portion of the
eastern Pacific. The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this
system a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through 48
hours, and also through the next 7 days. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, expect increasing winds and building seas to
impact portions of the waters well offshore southwest Mexico to
the Revillagigedo Islands this weekend into early next week.
Please read the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 106W, moving westward at around 10 kt.
Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is noted from
10N to 19N between 100W and 110W. Please, see the Special Features
section for more information about this system.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from low pressure over northern Colombia
at 10N76W to 07N90W to 1009 mb low pressure near 11N106W to 12N114W,
then resumes southwest of Elida from 11N128W to beyond 10N140W.
Aside from the convection associated with Elida, scattered to
numerous moderate to strong convection can be found from 02.5N to
09N E of 90W to the coast of Colombia, from 07N to 14N between
90W and 100W, from 10N to 19N between 100W and 110W, and from 07N
to 10N between 108W and 112W.